Tuesday, January 2, 2007

Why Presidents Can’t Quit, Part One

The death of Gerald Ford has become – as befits our late President – a welcome opportunity for the American people to reflect upon our recent history.

In contrast with the funeral for Ronald Reagan – which was transformed by Hollywood grandiosity, a full-court press by an administration and Congress eager to claim his mantle, and the obsequious timidity of our media into something resembling the deification of a deceased Roman emperor – President Ford’s passing has offered that most useful of occasions, a teachable moment.

To be sure, there has been great emphasis on the positive, which is only natural and proper when burying an honorable man. There has also been a good deal of popular sentimentality about a bygone era which – but for the fact that we Boomers were much younger and slimmer then – hardly merits much nostalgia. But there has also been refreshing candor and some genuine effort at honest appraisal – an attempt to anticipate the long view of history in assessing Mr. Ford’s 2 ½ years in the White House.

Over the past week, I have begun to realize that we may gain a relatively balanced assessment of Mr. Ford’s presidency in our own time – something which will almost certainly not happen with respect to presidents with so many idolators as John F. Kennedy and Ronald Reagan, or so many detractors as Richard Nixon.

Fascinating as I find these proto-historical appraisals of the Ford presidency, though, what keeps intruding into my thoughts is the simple fact that Mr. Ford came to office through the only presidential resignation in our history.

The only one.

And I find myself thinking what a fine thing it would have been had other recent presidents taken advantage of Mr. Nixon’s precedent.

If you think you know where this is going, you’re partly right – but I have a larger point in mind than the fate of the current administration. Especially since the dawn of the 20th century, a number of American presidents have overstayed their welcomes – to the detriment of their historical reputations, our national interests, and their own political parties.

As a student of both American and English history, I have often reflected upon the disadvantages of the American presidency in comparison with the office of Prime Minister. First among these, in my estimation, is the fact that – by the logic of our Constitution – ex-presidents almost never make political comebacks.

To be sure, John Quincy Adams served with distinction in the House of Representatives after losing the presidency to Andrew Jackson. Martin van Buren and Millard Fillmore ran for president as candidates of third parties. And the redoubtable Theodore Roosevelt – having voluntarily left office after two terms – actually came in second as the Bull Moose candidate for president in 1912.

But, with the single exception of Grover Cleveland, no former president has ever regained the White House – a fact which perhaps accounts for the extreme reluctance of presidents to surrender office one hour before they constitutionally must.

Once in office, almost every president – including President Ford – has sought re-election. Once re-elected, every second-term president has clung to power – even Mr. Nixon, who resigned only when his removal became certain.

Even presidents whose administrations have sunk irredeemably into failure, irrelevance, or – in the case of Woodrow Wilson – literal impotence, seem to find resignation unthinkable.

Under parliamentary constitutions, by way of contrast, prime ministers are far less apt to cling to office past the point of absurdity. Assuming that human nature is everywhere much the same, the relative intransigence of American presidents cannot be attributed to some greater degree of arrogance or addiction to power.

Institutional factors cause Presidents to cling to office. The American presidency is, in many ways, an extraordinary office – vested with incredible domestic and international power – but it is also a pinnacle achieved only once. Especially since the enactment of the 22nd Amendment – which forever ends the future prospects of any president elected to a second full term – there seems little incentive for a president to leave office before his time.

In addition to the office itself, however, there is another factor which makes it nearly impossible to persuade a sitting president to step down – the relative weakness of the Republican or Democratic party vis-a-vis an incumbent president who is, among other things, its de facto head.

This has led to a great curiosity in American politics – the fact that a party’s fortunes can suffer more from the re-election of its incumbent president than from his defeat by their rivals. Parties, of course, are institutionally incapable of taking this view, but it is nonetheless worth exploring – if only for the edification of those considering starting a third party which might someday replace one of the two parties presently sharing power in this country.

I will explore these ideas further in a subsequent post.

5 comments:

Anonymous said...

Recently an engineering company that I once worked for and often consulted for, was acquired by a large international corporation, to the great financial advantage of top management. I had always viewed this company as a place where engineering competence was valued -- where people stayed for years because the problems were interesting and people cared about things being done right. This view was shared by most of the engineers, I think.

The sale revealed a parallel view of the company, held by management, that it was essentially created to build value around some patents until it could be sold to make a lot of money for the principals -- who were not the engineers. They were just employees hired as needed to give the impression of value. Note that to the business people, actual value wasn't the point, just sufficient appearance to get rich from.

I think that a president considering quitting would reveal a similar split. Two groups that had been operationally united would become diametrically opposed. The ones who had seen the office as primarily a focus of power and money would do anything, break anyone, who threatened to give it away. The ones who still thought they were trying to do something good would be confused and dismayed at the responses of the power people and become ineffective.

Even revealing to his inner staff that he was seriously considering resigning would destroy the relationships the president counts on. It is very hard to make a major step like this without anyone to discuss and plan with. Can you imagine Bush asking Rove to come up with a plan for helping the country get through his resignation?

Anonymous said...

Brother Gray,

I think I just ran across something about your father. I was paging through some old News Leader editorials and came across one from July 17, 1970. Atty Gen. Miller had just ruled the state's conflict-of-interest law forbade two teachers who were spouses to work in the same school system. Acc. to the editorial, "Frederick T. Gray, a member of the House of Delegates and a former Attorney General, has come forward with what may be the solution to the awful difficulties implicit in Mr. Miller's opinion. Delegate Gray is preparing a formal request [asking Miller] for his opinion about the constitutionality of the conflict-of-interest law."

Seemed like kind of a coincidence. Thought it might be your old man. Anyhow, thought you might find it of interest.

Regards,
Bart Hinkle,
Richmond Times-Dispatch

'Rick Gray said...

Anonymous Brother Bart,

Indeed, I have that honor. Dad passed away 14 years ago, and many of those who best understood his qualities are growing old, but it's nice when someone connects me with the former Attorney General, Delegate, and state Senator rather than asking if I'm related to the I-295 bridge between Enon and Hopewell.

Anonymous said...

Rick, are you related to Garland "Peck" Gray?

'Rick Gray said...

Not "Peck" Gray, or his son, Elmond -- both State Senators -- but my dad was Frederick T. Gray, who represented Chesterfield County in the General Assembly for 18 years.